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Anthropic Prices Its IPO Range Below the $1.5 Trillion Investors Balked At, as Its Chip Suppliers Commit $26 Billion

Anthropic launched its IPO roadshow on November 10, offering 825 million Class A shares at $70 to $78 each on Nasdaq under ANT. At the top of the range the company would be worth about $1.4 trillion on a fully diluted basis, per TechCrunch and Axios, below the roughly $1.5 trillion some investors had pushed back on. AMD, Broadcom, Google, Micron, Microsoft, Nvidia and TSMC agreed to buy $26 billion of non-voting stock at the IPO price. CNBC's sources say pricing is set for November 18; Anthropic has not announced a date.

Times of AI Desk 6 min read San Francisco View as Markdown
A wooden tide staff stands in torn-paper cobalt water, its unused top stretch painted vermilion well above the water line, with an official Anthropic logo paper clipping tucked into the ivory paper beside the staff.

Anthropic has given ground on the price but not on the timing. The range it set on Tuesday tops out at about $1.4 trillion on a fully diluted basis, below the roughly $1.5 trillion some investors had already pushed back on and well short of the $2 trillion once floated. Meanwhile seven chip and cloud companies, Google and Nvidia among them, have agreed to buy in at whatever price the offering clears.

The terms#

Anthropic said on November 10 that it had launched the roadshow for its initial public offering of Class A common stock. The offering is 825,000,000 shares: 801,351,354 sold by Anthropic and 23,648,646 sold by existing stockholders, whose proceeds go to them, not the company. Underwriters get a 30-day option to buy up to 123,750,000 more shares. The expected price is $70 to $78 per share, and Anthropic has applied to list on the Nasdaq Global Select Market as ANT. The registration statement has been filed with the SEC but is not yet effective.

At those prices the 825 million shares come to $57.75 billion to $64.35 billion, TechCrunch calculated. Axios puts Anthropic's own share sale at up to about $62.5 billion.

The valuation depends on which shares are counted. Anthropic expects about 13.09 billion shares of all classes outstanding after the offering, which Axios says works out to about $1.03 trillion at the top of the range. Counting stock options and other shares that could be issued, the fully diluted value is about $1.4 trillion, Axios reported; TechCrunch put it at $1.404 trillion and CNBC at up to $1.405 trillion. That compares with the $965 billion valuation Anthropic announced in its May funding round.

The suppliers buying in#

Alongside the IPO, Anthropic agreed to sell $26 billion of non-voting Class N stock in a private placement, at the IPO price, to AMD, Broadcom, Google, Micron, Microsoft, Nvidia and TSMC, CNBC and TechCrunch reported from the filing. Google and Nvidia are putting in $10 billion each, according to TechCrunch. The placement shares are not registered in the offering and are not subject to lock-up agreements with the underwriters, CNBC reported.

The buyers are chip, memory, manufacturing and cloud companies. Reuters said the arrangement underscores the increasingly intertwined financial ties underpinning the AI boom. Including the placement, Anthropic estimates net proceeds of $84.6 billion to $93.7 billion, the higher figure if underwriters take up the extra shares, TechCrunch reported.

A retracted draft first#

The range came a day after a misfire. Late on Monday, a representative of Anthropic sent bankers a copy of a filing that showed about 867 million shares at $70 to $80, which would have raised $69.3 billion at the top, Reuters reported, citing emails it had seen. A follow-up email said the pricing details were inaccurate and that Anthropic would update the filing. Reuters could not determine what had been wrong, and Anthropic declined to comment. Tuesday's filing has fewer shares and a lower ceiling.

The timetable and the book#

Anthropic plans to price on November 18 and begin trading on November 19, CNBC reported, citing people familiar with the details. The same people said Anthropic is targeting a retail allocation of about 20%, against 5% to 10% for a typical IPO, and that the book is already covered at the range on an allocable basis. Anthropic has not announced those dates itself. Our earlier report on The Wall Street Journal's account of a debut as soon as next week, and of investors pressing for a valuation below $1.5 trillion, now has a range to measure against.

New numbers in the filing#

The amended filing put Anthropic's run-rate revenue at about $81 billion at the end of October, roughly $10 billion more than a month earlier, CNBC and TechCrunch reported. Revenue for the nine months to September 30 was $33.24 billion, up about 1,200% from a year earlier, with a nine-month net loss of $104 billion that CNBC said was mostly due to changes in the fair value of convertible notes and derivative liabilities. TechCrunch reported compute and infrastructure commitments of $900.9 billion and nearly $132 billion in cash and short-term investments.

Public buyers will get limited say. The seven co-founders hold a Class F share with 50.1% of the voting power and the Long-Term Benefit Trust elects a board majority, TechCrunch noted, a structure covered in our report on the S-1's founder share.

Limits#

  • The share counts, price range and listing venue come from Anthropic's announcement. The private placement, proceeds and filing figures are as reported by CNBC and TechCrunch; we did not read the amended S-1 itself.
  • The November 18 and 19 dates, the 20% retail target and the covered book come from CNBC's unnamed sources. Anthropic has not confirmed them.
  • The fully diluted valuation is reported as $1.4 trillion (Axios), $1.404 trillion (TechCrunch) and up to $1.405 trillion (CNBC); the gap reflects rounding and share-count assumptions we could not check against the filing.
  • The retracted draft is Reuters' account of emails; Anthropic did not say what was inaccurate.
  • A price range is not a price. The final offering price, size and valuation are set at pricing and can fall outside the range.

Sources#

Prior Coverage

Earlier Times of AI reporting on this thread.

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